Andre Ilagan vs Matthew Rankin Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How does second serve performance affect match outcomes? Rankin has a slight edge, winning 46.79% of second serve points compared to Ilagan's 43.49% over the last six months, which is crucial in determining match success.
• In terms of returning opponent's serves, Rankin shows a marginal advantage with a success of 47.66% on opponent's second serves, edging out Ilagan's 47.44%, though both are closely matched on this front.
• What about first serve returns? Here, Rankin also leads slightly, with 30.02% of first serve returns won against Ilagan's 27.71%, providing Rankin a favorable matchup prediction.
• Under pressure, however, Ilagan proves more resilient, saving 56.88% of breakpoints compared to Rankin's 50.65%, potentially shifting the match dynamics.
• Rankin has a stronger match win rate over the past year at 72.73% versus Ilagan’s 55%, indicating a higher overall performance level recently.
• Both players perform best on hard courts, with Ilagan slightly more successful at 62% compared to Rankin's 61%, yet Ilagan also exhibits a better winning percentage on indoor hard courts.
• Rankin generally plays at a lower event level, competing mostly in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments, while Ilagan frequents higher-level Challengers/ITF tournaments, suggesting different competition experiences.
• In terms of opponent quality, Rankin's opponents have a much higher average ranking (151) than those Ilagan faces (400.66), possibly skewing comparative performance evaluations.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Ilagan holds a distinct advantage, with a 43% win rate in deciding sets as opposed to Rankin’s 0% over the last year.
• Regarding breakpoint conversion, Rankin and Ilagan perform similarly, with 35.29% and 34.41% respectively, a crucial stat for potential live betting scenarios.

Editorial Prediction (July 27, 2025, UTC):

The comparison between Rankin and Ilagan reveals an intriguing matchup, with each player possessing distinct strengths. While Rankin demonstrates superiority in second serve points and return performance, Ilagan's breakpoint resilience gives him a psychological and strategic edge in high-pressure situations.

Despite Ilagan's less daunting competition, Rankin's higher overall win percentage and recent form on hard courts suggest a higher baseline skill level when facing equal opponents. However, Ilagan's advantage in deciding set situations could be a pivotal factor if the match extends beyond straight sets.

Considering the comprehensive analysis of recent performance metrics and situational strengths, Rankin emerges as the likelier victor in this upcoming confrontation, bolstered by consistent performance across multiple statistics.